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scienceThursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:29 PM
Poisson and seed clustering of primordial black holes may relax microlensing bounds while explaining ultra-faint dwarfs and little red dots

Poisson and seed clustering of primordial black holes may relax microlensing bounds while explaining ultra-faint dwarfs and little red dots

Clustering from Poisson and seed effects allows solar-mass PBHs to evade inner-halo microlensing limits while seeding observed dwarf galaxies and high-z red dots. Binary mergers inside surviving clusters dominate the LIGO rate. Non-Gaussian tails could further relax constraints.

Next steps include targeted searches for wide-binary disruption in the outer halo and forecasts for the Einstein Telescope to measure the clustered merger-rate component. If the rotation-curve decline is confirmed by Gaia DR4, solar-mass PBHs could furnish the bulk of dark matter without violating current data.

⚡ Prediction

Kuhnel et al.: Gaia DR4 will show a statistically significant decline in the rotation curve beyond 20 kpc at >3 sigma if clustered solar-mass PBHs comprise >30 percent of the halo dark matter within 18 months.

Sources (2)

  • [1]
    Primary Source(https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.28723)
  • [2]
    Supporting Source(https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.10722)