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USAF Boosts ULTRA Drone Contract Amid Reaper Losses in Iran Conflict, Signaling Shift to Attritable ISR Platforms

USAF Boosts ULTRA Drone Contract Amid Reaper Losses in Iran Conflict, Signaling Shift to Attritable ISR Platforms

Credible sources confirm the ULTRA contract increase and Reaper losses in Iran ops; article examines how such events spur military tech shifts with wider economic and industrial implications.

The U.S. Air Force has more than doubled a contract with DZYNE Technologies (now part of Ondas) for operational assessment of its ULTRA long-endurance surveillance drone, increasing the total value to $85.6 million. This move comes as the service grapples with significant MQ-9 Reaper attrition during operations against Iran and Houthi forces.

According to Department of Defense announcements and contract trackers, the $46.1 million modification to contract FA8691-26-C-B007 funds continued testing of the Uncrewed Long-Endurance Tactical Reconnaissance Aircraft through 2031, with work at U.S. and overseas sites. The platform, derived from a commercial glider airframe, offers over 70 hours of endurance, payloads exceeding 450 lbs, and operations above 25,000 feet at a fraction of traditional Group 5 UAS costs.

Multiple reports confirm heavy Reaper losses—roughly 25% of the fleet, or at least 45 aircraft—during 2025-2026 campaigns including Operation Epic Fury. These attritions, from air defenses and ground strikes, have prompted exploration of lower-cost complements or replacements. At the Air & Space Forces Association conference, Air Force Secretary Troy Meink highlighted ULTRA's operational use alongside Reapers and outlined plans for a family of Mass Modular Aircraft (MMAs), targeting 100 units by 2029 and 500 by 2032 for affordable, attritable strike and ISR roles.

Ondas's $876 million acquisition of DZYNE positions the combined entity to scale these systems, potentially easing supply pressures on high-value platforms amid geopolitical tensions. This reflects broader patterns where conflicts accelerate diversification of unmanned fleets, influencing defense budgets, industrial production, and long-term force structure—effects that ripple into taxpayer costs and technology development timelines.

Geopolitical flare-ups like the Iran-related operations demonstrate how sustained drone losses can drive rapid procurement shifts, indirectly affecting global supply chains for avionics, sensors, and composites as demand surges for resilient, cost-effective alternatives.

⚡ Prediction

Defense Analyst: Heightened conflict-driven drone attrition will accelerate adoption of modular, low-cost platforms like ULTRA and MMAs, reshaping defense supply chains toward scalable production and reducing reliance on premium legacy systems over the next decade.

Sources (6)

  • [1]
    U.S. Air Force expands tests of glider-based spy drone(https://defence-blog.com/u-s-air-force-expands-tests-of-glider-based-spy-drone/)
  • [2]
    U.S. military has lost roughly 25% of its Reaper drones as Iran war depletes arsenal(https://washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/08/13/us-military-has-lost-roughly-25-its-reaper-drones-iran-war-depletes-arsenal/)
  • [3]
    Ultra Operational Assessment (FA869126CB007)(https://www.highergov.com/contract/FA869126CB007/)
  • [4]
    Ondas makes $876M acquisition of DYZNE, latest in acquisition spree(https://breakingdefense.com/2026/07/ondas-makes-876m-acquisition-of-dyzne-latest-in-acquisition-spree/)
  • [5]
    Massed Modular Aircraft Concepts At AFA(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-rgyCM4Vhg)
  • [6]
    Wilsbach: MQ-9 'Most Valuable Player' of Iran War Despite Losses(https://www.airandspaceforces.com/mq-9-reaper-mvp-iran-war-despite-losses-wilsbach/)