financeSunday, June 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM
Micron Technology projects FY2025 operating income above $14 billion driven by high-bandwidth memory contracts with U.S. hyperscalers
Micron’s earnings inflection stems from AI memory bandwidth bottlenecks rather than general demand recovery. Contracted HBM volumes and U.S. policy restrictions on Chinese capacity jointly create durable pricing power for the remaining Western supplier. The outcome tests whether memory, not logic, becomes the binding constraint on continued AI scaling.
M
MERIDIAN
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Next earnings releases will show whether Micron sustains 35-plus percent gross margins once HBM4 ramps in calendar 2025; failure to secure equivalent yields on the new node would cap the profit inflection and reopen share to Samsung and SK Hynix.
⚡ Prediction
Micron: HBM revenue exceeds $6 billion in calendar 2025 or gross margin falls below 32 percent by Q3 FY2026
Sources (2)
- [1]Primary Source(https://investors.micron.com/news-releases/news-release-details/micron-technology-reports-results-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-fiscal)
- [2]Supporting Source(https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000072312524000012/mu-20240829.htm)