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financeWednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM
Lumentum Reports $402 Million Revenue, Lifting Optical Networking Valuations Ahead of Coherent Earnings

Lumentum Reports $402 Million Revenue, Lifting Optical Networking Valuations Ahead of Coherent Earnings

Lumentum's datacom beat highlights AI-driven transceiver demand amid US-China export controls. The results intensify scrutiny on Coherent earnings and test the durability of sector multiples. Primary filings reveal firms balancing restricted China access with subsidized domestic expansion.

Lumentum's earnings showed datacom revenue reaching $245 million and gross margins expanding to 38 percent. These figures reflect sustained hyperscale purchases of 800G transceivers for AI clusters. Company filings confirm shipments exceeded internal targets, while traditional telecom segments remained flat. The result aligns with parallel strength reported by other optical suppliers in the same supply chain.

Sector gains occur against US export controls that restrict advanced component sales to China. Both Lumentum and Coherent have documented supply-chain diversification moves in their 10-K reports to mitigate these restrictions. The CHIPS Act simultaneously subsidizes domestic capacity, creating dual incentives for US firms to expand onshore production while limiting revenue from the largest potential market.

Investor attention now centers on Coherent's report. Primary earnings transcripts from peers indicate that any shortfall in datacom guidance would pressure multiples across the group. Sustained outperformance, by contrast, would reinforce capital expenditure momentum at major cloud providers through at least mid-2025.

The pattern shows optical component demand tracking AI infrastructure buildouts more closely than broader economic indicators. Next data points include Coherent's November release and subsequent order updates from transceiver manufacturers.

⚡ Prediction

Lumentum: Coherent will report datacom revenue growth above 20 percent year-over-year in its November 2024 earnings release.

Sources (2)

  • [1]
    Lumentum Holdings Q1 FY2025 Earnings Release(https://investors.lumentum.com)
  • [2]
    Coherent Corp. Latest 10-K Filing(https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1308161/000130816124000012/cohr-20240630.htm)