arXiv:2611.05392 proposes CRO for probabilistic resource allocation in agentic pipelines
CRO delivers distribution-free resource reservations for non-stationary agentic AI pipelines using conformal prediction on execution traces. Simulations demonstrate simultaneous satisfaction of coverage targets and lowest over-provisioning among feasible methods. The framework addresses a documented limitation in current schedulers that assume known graphs or stationary demand.
The work formalizes the uncertainty-aware agentic orchestration problem for LLM-driven multi-step pipelines whose compute and bandwidth demands emerge only at runtime. Classical schedulers require static graphs; edge methods assume stationary distributions. CRO applies conformal prediction to past traces and produces per-task reservations that satisfy user-specified coverage probabilities without parametric assumptions.
Simulations on heterogeneous task mixes with heavy-tailed, multi-modal demand profiles show CRO is the sole method that meets target coverage at every risk level while cutting over-reservation roughly in half relative to the Chebyshev baseline. This performance gap widens as tail weight increases, confirming the value of distribution-free finite-sample bounds.
The approach directly extends conformal prediction results from time-series forecasting to dynamic orchestration, closing a gap between theoretical coverage guarantees and production LLM agent deployments. It implies operators can now set explicit service-level probabilities rather than relying on heuristic headroom.
Operational uptake requires integration with existing cluster managers and trace collection pipelines; early adopters will likely appear in research clusters before commercial platforms expose the required execution logs.
Sources (3)
- [1]Primary Source(https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.05392)
- [2]Supporting Source(https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.07511)
- [3]Supporting Source(https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.14936)