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fringeWednesday, October 21, 2026 at 07:26 AM
US-Japan Launch Largest Keen Sword Drills with Anti-Ship Missiles Deployed to Islands Near Taiwan

US-Japan Launch Largest Keen Sword Drills with Anti-Ship Missiles Deployed to Islands Near Taiwan

Keen Sword 27 features record troop numbers and novel missile deployments on islands closest to Taiwan, underscoring US-Japan efforts to bolster deterrence while drawing Chinese surveillance.

The US and Japan began their biennial Keen Sword 27 exercise on October 19, 2026, one of the largest joint military drills between the allies, running through October 29. The exercise emphasizes defense of Japan's southwestern island chain, including Yonaguni—just 110 km east of Taiwan—and involves approximately 45,000 Japanese Self-Defense Forces personnel, 11,000-12,000 US troops, and forces from Australia, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, and the Philippines, with observers from South Korea and the UK.

Key firsts include the US Marine Corps deploying the Navy-Marine Expeditionary Ship Interdiction System (NMESIS) anti-ship missiles and Marine Air Defense Integrated System (MADIS) to Yonaguni for the first time, alongside Japan's initial deployment of its longer-range Type-25 surface-to-ship missiles (range ~1,000 km) outside their permanent base. A US HIMARS rocket system was also positioned on nearby Ishigaki. These deployments enable coverage of waters around eastern Taiwan and potentially reach parts of mainland China.

Official Japanese Joint Staff documents and statements from US Forces Japan confirm the scale and focus on integrated air/missile defense, anti-ship operations, and multi-domain training. Chinese military vessels, aircraft, and drones have been observed tracking the drills, according to Japan's defense ministry and reports from the South China Morning Post. The exercises occur amid heightened regional tensions, with prior reporting from Bloomberg and others noting pre-exercise planning for the Yonaguni deployments.

⚡ Prediction

[Geopolitical Analyst]: These drills mark a tangible shift toward distributed, forward-deployed sea-denial capabilities in the first island chain, potentially complicating PLA planning for a Taiwan contingency while inviting reciprocal Chinese responses in the region.

Sources (7)

  • [1]
    Chinese military vessels and spy drones track Keen Sword war games off Japan(https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3371525/chinese-military-vessels-and-spy-drones-track-keen-sword-war-games-japan)
  • [2]
    US to Put Anti-Ship Missiles on Island Near Taiwan For Drill(https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-02/us-may-put-missile-system-on-japan-island-near-taiwan-in-drills)
  • [3]
    FY2026 Japan-U.S. Bilateral Joint Exercise 'Keen Sword 27'(https://www.mod.go.jp/js/pdf/2026/p20260929_01e.pdf)
  • [4]
    US carrier strike group en route to multinational exercise around Japan(https://www.stripes.com/branches/navy/2026-10-19/uss-theodore-roosevelt-keen-sword-japan-23196144.html)
  • [5]
    Joint Japan-U.S. military drill set to break new ground(https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/10/18/japan/keen-sword-military-exercises/)
  • [6]
    Major Japan-US joint military drills kick off to boost regional defense(https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20261020/p2g/00m/0na/006000c)
  • [7]
    Japan, US launch drills focusing on islands near Taiwan(https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2026/10/21/2003866337)