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financeWednesday, June 17, 2026 at 04:50 AM
Central Banks Report Record Intent to Raise Gold Holdings as Dollar Share Expectations Fall

Central Banks Report Record Intent to Raise Gold Holdings as Dollar Share Expectations Fall

Record central-bank gold purchase intentions documented in the 2026 WGC survey reflect structural reserve diversification away from the dollar. Rising domestic vaulting and local-currency funding programs lower exposure to sanctions and custody concentration. The shift is incremental but sustained by documented behavior rather than announced doctrine.

The survey, fielded February to May 2026 with broad geographic coverage, shows central banks have already lifted annual net purchases to roughly 1,000 tonnes in each of the past four years, double the prior decade average. Respondents cite crisis performance, diversification and geopolitical hedging as primary motives; 74 percent also project a moderate or significant decline in the dollar’s share of global reserves over five years while anticipating stable euro and renminbi weights.

This pattern aligns with observable reserve-management shifts since 2022. Multiple emerging-market central banks have executed domestic gold purchase programs funded in local currency and increased home or multi-jurisdiction vaulting, reducing reliance on traditional custodians. The data indicate portfolio rebalancing driven by sanctions risk and sanctions-enforcement mechanics rather than stated policy rhetoric.

Storage preferences are fragmenting: Bank of England remains first choice at 57 percent, yet domestic facilities and the BIS register rising allocations. Nine percent of respondents have already raised domestic storage in the past year and a further 7 percent plan additional increases.

Continued accumulation at current rates will incrementally raise gold’s weight in aggregate reserves, creating a slow but measurable offset to dollar dominance without requiring coordinated currency arrangements.

⚡ Prediction

World Gold Council: Central bank net gold purchases will exceed 1,100 tonnes in calendar year 2027.

Sources (2)

  • [1]
    World Gold Council Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey 2026(https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/central-bank-gold-reserves-survey-2026)
  • [2]
    IMF Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves(https://data.imf.org/?sk=E6A5F467-C14B-4AA8-9F6D-5A5496C2A795)