Polymarket Odds on Kimberly Guilfoyle's Ouster as Greece Ambassador Spike to 69% Amid WSJ Allegations and Trump-Rubio Review

Prediction markets have sharply repriced the future of Kimberly Guilfoyle as U.S. Ambassador to Greece, with Polymarket contracts showing a 69% probability she will leave the post by October 31, up from low single digits days earlier. The shift follows a series of Wall Street Journal reports detailing allegations of misconduct, including Guilfoyle allegedly telling Greek officials in March that the U.S. "can do that to any country we want" regarding government changes, promoting the interests of Greek construction firm Aktor Group (including allowing its lobbyist into diplomatic meetings), seeking $100,000 from donor Eric Deters via Signal messages to pay an American Express bill in a way that "won't show up anywhere," and boasting about luxury travel funded by Greek businessmen like Aktor CEO Alexandros Exarchou and shipping tycoon Nikolas Tsakos. A senior U.S. official told the Associated Press that President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are "extremely pissed off" by the claims, with Rubio particularly angered after Guilfoyle greeted him with a bear hug during his recent Athens visit. The State Department's inspector general is examining the allegations. Trump has stated he is "looking at it" and "we're not happy," while previously calling the situation "too bad." Guilfoyle's legal team has denied wrongdoing, asserted compliance with ethics rules, and disputed the authenticity of some messages. Rubio had previously praised her as a "strong ambassador." The developments have drawn coverage from CNN, CBS News, and others, confirming active administration consideration of her removal ahead of a potential decision this week.