The claim in The Factum's 'Near 50% French Backing for National Rally' article that 'corroborated polls show RN nearing 50% consideration for 2027' overstates support and misattributes motives. Recent Ifop and Ipsos surveys from September 2024 place RN first-round presidential voting intention at 32-36%, with no credible poll crossing 40% even in runoff scenarios against Macron or left candidates. Immigration ranks as a top concern for RN voters but trails purchasing power and security in cross-party polls; a July 2024 Odoxa survey found only 28% of French respondents citing immigration as their primary issue versus 41% for cost of living. This pattern matches 2022 election data where RN's 41% runoff share reflected anti-incumbent sentiment more than a singular populist surge, per CNRS electoral studies.